SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 34.74%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 2-1 (6.52%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (13.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 34.74% | 31.72% | 33.54% |
| Both teams to score 37.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.7% | 87.3% |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% | 38.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% | 38.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% | 75.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% 2-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.68% Total : 34.73% | 0-0 @ 14.8% 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.71% | 0-1 @ 13.97% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.55% Total : 33.54% |
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