SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
36.43% ( 0.02) | 20.65% ( 0) | 42.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 74.59% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.52% ( -0.02) | 43.47% ( 0.02) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0) | 14.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( -0) | 43.01% ( 0) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.01) | 12.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.54% ( -0.03) | 38.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 4.3% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.99% 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 42.91% |
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