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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
SN

Belgium
1 - 1
Sweden

Lukaku (31' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyokeres (15')
Svanberg (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-3 Belgium
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 3-1 Moldova
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161

We said: Belgium 1-0 Sweden

As Sweden are missing their star striker and have scored just once in three previous games against Group F's top two - each of which ended in defeat - their slim hopes of catching Belgium and Austria will be ended. The Blagult cannot compete toe-to-toe with a vibrant Belgian side, but if the hosts make changes after sealing qualification it could be a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (5.03%).

Result
BelgiumDrawSweden
60.7% (-0.322 -0.32) 21.22% (0.087 0.09) 18.07% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)13.66% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.14% (-0.194 -0.19)40.86% (0.197 0.2)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.264 0.26)37.32% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.258 0.26)74.1% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 60.7%
    Sweden 18.07%
    Draw 21.22%
BelgiumDrawSweden
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.7%
1-1 @ 10% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Austria 2-3 Belgium
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Estonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Belgium
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Belgium
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Belgium
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 3-1 Moldova
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-5 Sweden
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Sweden
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 5-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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