SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominica | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 46.18% | 22.77% | 31.04% |
| Both teams to score 64.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.42% | 36.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% | 58.73% |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% | 16.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% | 45.86% |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% | 23.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% | 57.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominica | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.67% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.04% |
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