SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Bonaire had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Bonaire win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Bonaire |
42.71% ( -2.19) | 23.3% ( -0.06) | 33.98% ( 2.25) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 1.14) | 38% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( 1.21) | 60.26% ( -1.21) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.43) | 18.23% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( -0.75) | 49.26% ( 0.75) |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 1.82) | 22.37% ( -1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 2.66) | 55.87% ( -2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Bonaire |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.98% |
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