SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | El Salvador |
45.77% ( 3.02) | 25.83% ( -0.76) | 28.39% ( -2.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( 2) | 51.78% ( -2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( 1.7) | 73.55% ( -1.71) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( 2.33) | 22.59% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% ( 3.35) | 56.19% ( -3.36) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.63) | 32.81% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( -0.71) | 69.37% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.39% |
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