SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Martin | Draw | Bonaire |
28.67% ( 0.05) | 22.24% ( 0.02) | 49.09% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.04) | 35.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.05) | 57.48% ( 0.05) |
| Saint Martin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( 0.02) | 58.59% ( -0.01) |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.04) | 14.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.85% ( -0.07) | 43.15% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Martin | Draw | Bonaire |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.67% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 49.09% |
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