SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | El Salvador |
53.07% ( 1.6) | 24.65% ( -0.27) | 22.28% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( -0.2) | 51.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( -0.17) | 73.55% ( 0.18) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.56) | 19.47% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( 0.91) | 51.33% ( -0.91) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -1.36) | 38.05% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( -1.34) | 74.82% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.28% |
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