SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Togo had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Togo |
50.3% ( -0.15) | 23.47% ( -0.01) | 26.23% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.16) | 43.15% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.16) | 65.55% ( -0.15) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.01) | 17.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% ( 0.01) | 47.57% ( -0.01) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.2) | 29.93% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.24) | 66.04% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Togo |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 26.23% |
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