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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
LN

Eq Guinea
2 - 0
Libya

Touhami (51' og.), Bikoro (84' pen.)
Anieboh (25'), Miranda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Al-Warfali (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Botswana
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Equatorial Guinea 2-1 Libya

Libya head into Monday's game in fine form, winning three of their last four outings across all competitions. However, standing in their way is an Equatorial Guinea side who have won three of the last four meetings between the teams. We are backing the Nzalang Nacional to make use of their home advantage in this one and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Libya had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawLibya
47.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.86% (0.012 0.01) 29.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)42.89% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)65.29% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.38% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.52% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.78% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)63.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 47.12%
    Libya 29.02%
    Draw 23.85%
Equatorial GuineaDrawLibya
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 47.12%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, June 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Angola
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 3-0 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, March 23 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 3-1 Eq Guinea
Sunday, January 30 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Eq Guinea (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, January 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-1 Eq Guinea
Thursday, January 20 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Libya 1-0 Botswana
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 2-0 Libya
Tuesday, March 29 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 1-2 Libya
Saturday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 0-2 Libya
Tuesday, February 1 at 2.55pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 2-0 Libya
Saturday, January 29 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Angola
Tuesday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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