Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Angola had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
