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IC
International Friendly
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
TN

Ivory Coast
2 - 1
Togo

Fofana (60'), Kessie (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dermane (85')
Moukaila (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions:
International Friendlies form:
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions:
International Friendlies form:
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Togo

Following their CHAN qualification heartbreak, Togo will head into the weekend looking to pick up morale-boosting results ahead of their AFCON qualifying games. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are tipping Ivory Coast to cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Togo had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawTogo
58.4% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.43% (-0.035 -0.04) 18.16% (0.396 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.794 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.689 0.69)51.95% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.592 0.59)73.69% (-0.59100000000001 -0.59)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.123 0.12)17.52% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (0.212 0.21)48.04% (-0.212 -0.21)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (0.879 0.88)42.56% (-0.876 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (0.743 0.74)78.92% (-0.741 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 58.4%
    Togo 18.16%
    Draw 23.43%
Ivory CoastDrawTogo
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Zambia
Friday, June 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: England 3-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: France 2-1 Ivory Coast
Friday, March 25 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-0 Egypt (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 26 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Algeria
Thursday, January 20 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 2-2 Eswatini
Friday, June 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Benin
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Sierra Leone
Thursday, March 24 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Togo
Monday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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