SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Togo had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Togo |
58.4% ( -0.36) | 23.43% ( -0.04) | 18.16% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0.69) | 51.95% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.59) | 73.69% ( -0.59) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.12) | 17.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 0.21) | 48.04% ( -0.21) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 0.88) | 42.56% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% ( 0.74) | 78.92% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Togo |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.16% |
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