SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Liberia |
47.9% ( -0.28) | 24.46% ( -0.02) | 27.64% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.32) | 46.45% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.3) | 68.73% ( -0.3) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.01) | 19.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( 0.02) | 51.32% ( -0.02) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.4) | 30.59% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( 0.47) | 66.82% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Liberia |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.64% |
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