SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Morocco |
23.76% ( -0.17) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 50.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.31% ( -0.11) | 54.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.99% ( -0.09) | 76.01% ( 0.09) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% ( -0.22) | 38.27% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.97% ( -0.21) | 75.03% ( 0.21) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.03) | 21.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( 0.04) | 54.86% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liberia | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.76% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.47% |
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