SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Liberia |
| 46.7% | 22.92% | 30.38% |
| Both teams to score 63.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% | 37.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% | 16.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% | 46.27% |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% | 24.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Liberia |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.43% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.38% |
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