SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Gambia |
53.51% ( -0.03) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0.01) | 66.61% ( 0.01) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.01) | 16.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.79% ( -0.03) | 46.21% ( 0.03) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.02) | 32.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( 0.02) | 69.42% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Gambia |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.51% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
