SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Liberia |
45.71% ( -0.4) | 23.94% ( 0.35) | 30.35% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -1.61) | 42.53% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( -1.63) | 64.94% ( 1.63) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.8) | 18.82% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -1.35) | 50.25% ( 1.35) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.77) | 26.71% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( -1.03) | 61.97% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Liberia |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.35% |
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