SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Israel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Israel |
12.49% ( -0.07) | 18.94% ( 0.02) | 68.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.27) | 43.92% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.26) | 66.31% ( 0.26) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( -0.28) | 45.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( -0.22) | 81.35% ( 0.22) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.06) | 11.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( -0.14) | 36.88% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Israel |
| 1-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.94% | 0-2 @ 12.26% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 68.56% |
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