SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Romania |
38.76% ( -0.1) | 27.06% ( -0.03) | 34.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.13) | 54.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( 0.1) | 76.07% ( -0.1) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0) | 27.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0) | 63.01% ( -0) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( 0.15) | 30.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( 0.17) | 66.46% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.18% |
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