SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Israel | 7 | -1 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Israel | 7 | -1 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Switzerland |
47.15% ( -0.14) | 24.44% ( -0) | 28.4% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 0.1) | 45.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 0.09) | 68.2% ( -0.09) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -0.03) | 51.47% ( 0.03) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( 0.15) | 29.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( 0.18) | 65.81% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.15% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.4% |
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