SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Romania | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Israel | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 5 | -4 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Belarus |
61.08% ( 0.16) | 23.31% ( 0) | 15.61% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.27) | 55.25% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( -0.22) | 76.48% ( 0.22) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.04) | 17.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( -0.07) | 48.46% ( 0.07) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.39) | 47.8% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.91% ( -0.29) | 83.08% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.07% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.61% |
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