SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Jordan |
43.96% ( -4.17) | 22.46% ( -3.34) | 33.58% ( 7.52) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 16.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 19.18) | 33.93% ( -19.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 18.91) | 55.78% ( -18.9) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 5.98) | 16.1% ( -5.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( 9.92) | 45.5% ( -9.92) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 14.7) | 20.68% ( -14.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( 18.87) | 53.27% ( -18.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Jordan |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -5.71)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -3.36)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.66)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 1.78)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -1.11)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.67)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.69)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -2.67) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 2.08)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -4.48)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.37)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 1.18) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -2.87)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 1.76)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1.96)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.71)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.99)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 1)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58% |
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