SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Serbia | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Hungary | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Jordan |
68.77% ( 0.01) | 18.64% ( -0) | 12.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.02) | 42.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.02) | 64.69% ( 0.01) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( -0) | 11.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.23% ( -0.01) | 35.76% ( 0.01) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.02) | 44.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.61% ( -0.02) | 80.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Jordan |
| 2-0 @ 11.89% 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 68.75% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.6% |
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