SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Cyprus |
56.76% ( -2.2) | 21.5% ( 0.19) | 21.74% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( 2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( 1.92) | 38.77% ( -1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( 1.99) | 61.08% ( -1.99) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -0.04) | 13.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% ( -0.08) | 40.6% ( 0.08) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 3.02) | 31.26% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 3.37) | 67.61% ( -3.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Cyprus |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.82)1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.8)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.76% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.74% |
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