SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | Moldova |
69.15% ( 0.11) | 19.36% ( -0.09) | 11.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.32) | 48.21% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.29) | 70.36% ( -0.3) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.12) | 12.83% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( 0.26) | 39.17% ( -0.27) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.16) | 49.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.37% ( 0.11) | 84.63% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | Moldova |
| 2-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 69.15% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.36% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 11.48% |
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