SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Moldova |
52.05% ( -0.03) | 25.89% ( -0) | 22.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.05) | 56.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.04) | 77.59% ( -0.04) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.01) | 21.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( 0.01) | 55.05% ( -0.01) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( 0.07) | 41.01% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0.06) | 77.56% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
