SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Georgia |
64.1% ( -0) | 21.16% ( 0.03) | 14.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( -0.16) | 48.55% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.15) | 70.67% ( 0.14) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( -0.05) | 14.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( -0.1) | 42.4% ( 0.09) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.14) | 44.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -0.11) | 80.91% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Georgia |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 64.1% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.73% |
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