SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 90.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 3.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Cyprus |
90.22% ( 0.25) | 6.71% ( -0.17) | 3.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0.52) | 17.94% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.89% ( 0.77) | 35.1% ( -0.77) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.69% ( 0.09) | 2.3% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89% ( 0.37) | 10.99% ( -0.37) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.14) | 50.75% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.82% ( 0.09) | 85.17% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 3-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.15)6-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)7-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)7-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)8-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.66% Total : 90.22% | 1-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 6.71% | 1-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 3.06% |
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