SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Greece had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Greece win it was 0-1 (8.01%).
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Greece |
49.87% ( 1.39) | 25.78% ( -0.52) | 24.34% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( 1.27) | 54.25% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 1.05) | 75.65% ( -1.05) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 1.15) | 21.78% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( 1.72) | 54.98% ( -1.73) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.08) | 37.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( -0.08) | 74.27% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.34% |
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