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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Nepal win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
33.01% ( 0.2) | 27.18% ( 0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.12) | 55.44% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% ( -0.1) | 76.63% ( 0.1) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 0.08) | 31.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( 0.09) | 67.76% ( -0.09) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.19) | 27.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( -0.25) | 62.67% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.8% |
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