SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
41.49% ( 0.14) | 25.82% ( 0.15) | 32.68% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( -0.75) | 49.96% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.67) | 71.95% ( 0.67) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.26) | 23.86% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( -0.37) | 58.05% ( 0.37) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.56) | 28.87% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.7) | 64.74% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.68% |
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