SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 47.12% | 27.93% | 24.94% |
| Both teams to score 43.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.72% | 81.28% |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.25% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% | 40.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.49% | 77.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.94% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.26% Total : 24.94% |
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