SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 25.2% | 26.08% | 48.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% | 54.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% | 76.05% |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% | 37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.21% | 73.79% |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% | 56.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 0-2 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.71% |
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