SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Paraguay |
| 34.24% | 30.77% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 40.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.45% | 85.55% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% | 73.68% |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% | 36.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% | 73.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.85% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.76% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.94% Total : 35% |
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