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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Feb 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
PN

Brazil
4 - 0
Paraguay

Raphinha (28'), Coutinho (62'), Antony (86'), Rodrygo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arzamendia (20'), Gonzalez (45+5'), Alonso (78')

We said: Brazil 3-0 Paraguay

Brazil can afford to take their foot off the gas at this stage of Qualifying - as much as Tite will not want them to - but the Selecao will certainly be fired-up from the frenetic encounter with Ecuador. Paraguay's goal-shy tendencies are showing no signs of improving anytime soon - let alone against a star-studded Brazil backline - so a storming Selecao win should be the only outcome here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.99%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawParaguay
67.02%22.61%10.37%
Both teams to score 32.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.94%62.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.22%81.78%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88%49.12%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.42%60.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.05%90.94%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 67.01%
    Paraguay 10.37%
    Draw 22.61%
BrazilDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 18.76%
2-0 @ 16%
3-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 4.57%
4-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 1.95%
5-0 @ 1.33%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 67.01%
0-0 @ 10.99%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-2 @ 2.36%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 10.37%

Read more!
Read more!


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