SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Peru |
| 55.5% | 25.21% | 19.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.94% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% | 44.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% | 80.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.29% |
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