SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Peru |
| 53.72% | 26.57% | 19.7% |
| Both teams to score 41.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% | 61.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.9% | 81.1% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% | 23.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.19% | 56.81% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.82% | 46.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.14% | 81.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 15.61% 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.49% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.7% |
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