SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Russia | Draw | Iraq |
55.15% ( -0.16) | 25.6% ( 0.05) | 19.24% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% ( -0.05) | 58.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% ( -0.04) | 79.05% ( 0.04) |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -0.09) | 21.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( -0.14) | 54.21% ( 0.14) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( 0.1) | 45.12% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.97% ( 0.07) | 81.03% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Russia | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 14.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.24% |
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