SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Russia had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Russia win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Russia |
37.35% ( -0.15) | 25.63% ( 0.41) | 37.02% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( -1.83) | 48.52% ( 1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( -1.69) | 70.65% ( 1.69) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.92) | 25.39% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( -1.28) | 60.19% ( 1.29) |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.97) | 25.57% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -1.35) | 60.45% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Russia |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.02% |
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