SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Colombia |
42.06% ( 0) | 23.93% ( -0) | 34.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.01) | 41.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.01) | 63.43% ( -0.01) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0) | 19.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( 0.01) | 51.81% ( -0.01) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0) | 23.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( 0.01) | 57.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Colombia |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.12% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.01% |
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