SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Venezuela |
63.85% ( 0.01) | 19.63% ( 0) | 16.52% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.03) | 38.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0.03) | 60.54% ( 0.03) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( -0) | 11.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( -0.01) | 36.07% ( 0.02) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -0.03) | 36.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.87% ( -0.03) | 73.13% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Venezuela |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 63.85% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.63% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.52% |
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