SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Uruguay |
43.04% ( 0.44) | 27.49% ( -0.07) | 29.47% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.4% ( 0.13) | 57.6% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% ( 0.1) | 78.37% ( -0.1) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.29) | 26.51% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( 0.38) | 61.7% ( -0.38) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( -0.2) | 35.05% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -0.21) | 71.8% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.47% |
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