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SK
International Friendly
Nov 11, 2022 at 11am UK
Hwaseong Stadium
IN

South Korea
1 - 0
Iceland

Song (33')
Son (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorvaldsson (76'), Magnusson (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 27 at 12pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Korea 1-0 Iceland

South Korea still do not have their full squad in place, but they will fancy their chances of overcoming an understrength Iceland on Friday. We are not expecting there to be much between the two sides, though, with perhaps just the one goal separating them at the end of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawIceland
59.82% (-0.152 -0.15) 23.69% (-0.026 -0.03) 16.49% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.61% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.34699999999999 0.35)55.31% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.282 0.28)76.52% (-0.285 -0.28)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.070999999999998 0.07)18.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.124 0.12)49.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (0.44 0.44)46.65% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (0.332 0.33)82.22% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 59.8%
    Iceland 16.49%
    Draw 23.69%
South KoreaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 14.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 16.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 27 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Costa Rica
Friday, September 23 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 4-1 Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-5 Brazil
Thursday, June 2 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 1-1 Iceland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Venezuela 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Israel
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Albania
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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