SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Iceland |
59.82% ( -0.15) | 23.69% ( -0.03) | 16.49% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( 0.35) | 55.31% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( 0.28) | 76.52% ( -0.28) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.07) | 18.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( 0.12) | 49.28% ( -0.13) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.35% ( 0.44) | 46.65% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.78% ( 0.33) | 82.22% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.8% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 16.49% |
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