SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Morocco | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Iran had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Uruguay |
33.92% ( -0.17) | 22.77% ( 0.01) | 43.3% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.47% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.12) | 35.39% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.58% ( -0.14) | 57.42% ( 0.13) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( -0.14) | 21.18% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% ( -0.22) | 54.06% ( 0.22) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.01) | 16.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( 0.02) | 47.01% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Uruguay |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.3% |
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