SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | South Korea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | South Korea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Uruguay |
48.84% ( 0.15) | 26.39% ( -0.02) | 24.77% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( -0.04) | 56.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( -0.03) | 77.25% ( 0.03) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.05) | 23.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.08) | 56.89% ( -0.08) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.14) | 38.19% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( -0.14) | 74.95% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
