SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for South Korea had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a South Korea win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | South Korea |
55.81% ( 0.39) | 23.82% ( -0.07) | 20.36% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.08) | 50.63% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( -0.07) | 72.54% ( 0.07) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0.12) | 17.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( 0.2) | 48.84% ( -0.2) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.37) | 39.33% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( -0.35) | 76.03% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.36% |
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