SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Nicaragua |
42.88% ( 0.06) | 26.91% ( -0.15) | 30.21% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( 0.62) | 55.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( 0.51) | 76.41% ( -0.5) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( 0.31) | 25.48% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( 0.42) | 60.32% ( -0.41) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( 0.4) | 33.22% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( 0.44) | 69.83% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.21% |
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