SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Suriname |
| 42.83% | 24.16% | 33.01% |
| Both teams to score 59.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% | 42.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% | 64.83% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% | 52.19% |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% | 59.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Suriname |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.01% |
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