SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Suriname |
61.4% ( 0.02) | 22.81% ( -0.02) | 15.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.64% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 0.06) | 53.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( 0.05) | 74.71% ( -0.05) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( 0.03) | 16.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.07% ( 0.05) | 46.93% ( -0.05) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.71% ( 0.04) | 46.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.06% ( 0.03) | 81.94% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Suriname |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.4% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.79% |
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