SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
47.36% ( 0.07) | 26.12% ( 0.05) | 26.51% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.25) | 54.03% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.21) | 75.47% ( 0.21) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.07) | 22.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( -0.11) | 56.52% ( 0.11) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( -0.23) | 35.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( -0.24) | 72.26% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.51% |
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